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Calbrooks
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*****

Below will be a fatal flaw of each quarterback with possible first round value.

DeShone Kizer: Accuracy

Despite suffering a 4-8 record, Kizer still maintains first round value according to most draft experts. Despite a rough season, Kizer’s 6’4 frame bodes well in the pocket. In addition, he arguably possess the best arm in the draft. However, the quarterback for the Fighting Irish still possesses a fatal flaw, accuracy.

Kizer completed 60.7% of his passes throughout his college career which raises serious questions. Quarterbacks rarely experience an improvement in accuracy at the NFL level. Better players on the defensive side of the ball means tighter windows across the board. Additionally, defensive schemes become more complex which doesn’t help any rookie’s case as a signal caller.

Some real life examples include Teddy Bridgewater whose 68.3 completion percentage dropped to 64.9 when he reached the NFL. Sam Bradford completed 67.6% of his passes at Oklahoma, but he’s only managed to complete 62.3% of his passes as a pro. A couple of players who experienced a small improvement in accuracy include Aaron Rodgers who ascended from his 63.8 completion percentage to a 65.1 NFL completion percentage, and Kirk Cousins who went from 64.1% to 65.9%, but those numbers hint at something further.

*****

Deshaun Watson: Turnovers

46 total touchdowns and a shot at a national championship!? What’s not to like!? Yes, Watson could be the most explosive quarterback in this year’s draft, but he’s also the most careless with the football. Sure, 38 passing touchdowns looks great, but 17 interceptions on the other hand, not so much. As mentioned earlier, defenses only get better in the NFL, so ball security won’t get easier. To put Watson’s interceptions in perspective, he has thrown at least 7 more picks than any quarterback who appears on this list. Patrick Mahomes threw 10 interceptions this season, and he threw 30+ more passes than Watson this season.

*****

Mitch Trubisky: Pocket Presence/decision-making

Mitch Trubisky represents many qualities of a pocket passer. First of all, Trubisky stands at 6’3 and possesses one of the best arms in the draft. He delivers deep balls with relative ease and surprises many with his athleticism. However, Trubisky still needs to work on a few things if he wants to be a successful quarterback in the NFL.

To begin, Trubisky’s pocket presence is suspect to say the least. Whenever Trubisky feels pressure, his feet go everywhere. In this respect, he mirrors Jay Cutler in a number of ways, both good and bad. His athleticism and arm strength allowed him to make a wild 40-yard pass in the Sun Bowl, but it also led to a few poor throws and unnecessary sacks. So far, Trubisky tends to roll out to his right and spin back towards the middle of the field when facing pressure. It worked when he delivered a late touchdown in the Sun Bowl, but it also got him sacked on the game-tying two-point conversion.

Unfortunately, Trubisky’s decision-making draws another parallel to Cutler. His arm allows him to make virtually every throw, but it also baits him into making poor decisions. The junior had two or more turnovers in three separate games and the Tar Heels coincidentally lost all three. Once more, the Sun Bowl showed Trubisky’s shortcomings in this area. He threw a pick on a crossing route that a safety baited him into. Trubisky stared down his target and forced the throw despite the safety breaking on the ball. Trubisky’s second interception came on zone coverage. He lobbed a ball to his running back on a wheel route which the cornerback easily intercepted and returned for a touchdown. Trubisky should have delivered the ball far sooner if he wanted to target his running back. If not, he should have waited for his receivers to pick apart the zone coverage.

*****

Brad Kaaya- Arm Strength

The Chicago Bears were linked to Brad Kaaya in the early weeks of the NFL season, and there’s good reason for it. Kaaya possesses great accuracy on short and intermediate throws. At 6’4, Kaaya is able to stand tall in the pocket and generally makes good reads. However, Kaaya falls dreadfully short when it comes to the deep ball.

Sure, not every pass goes for 50 yards, but deep ball accuracy is essential in the NFL. Peyton Manning’s waning arm strength in 2015 shows exactly why an NFL quarterback needs to deliver on the deep ball. Unfortunately for Kaaya, he hasn’t proved that he can consistently hit on the deep ball. Some of that blame has to be shifted on the offensive line which was below average this season, but Kaaya relies on short throws. That doesn’t mean that Kaaya can’t throw the ball deep, but he doesn’t possess the same touch that a Big Ben or even an Eli Manning has on the home run ball.

A good NFL comparison for this season would be the Minnesota Vikings. Sam Bradford excelled with short and intermediate passes, but struggled with big plays. Part of the blame belongs to the offensive line, but Bradford missed on a fair share of opportunities as well.

Drafting a quarterback with suspect arm strength in the first round is a gamble, to use a third overall pick on one is suicide.

Patrick Mahomes II: College offense

There’s no other way around it, 41 passing touchdowns in a season simply jumps off the page. 6 passing performances over 400 yards and at least 4 touchdowns sounds more like a game of Madden than college football. Patrick Mahomes’ gaudy numbers will put him on every draft board, but the offense which was so kind to Mahomes in college will do him little good in the pros.

Remember when Johnny Manziel took football by storm a few years ago? He could sling the ball, scramble with the best of them, and put up tons of points. However, the NFL provided a rude awakening with complex defenses along with bigger, better, faster, and stronger defenders. Sprint options were quickly snuffed out, and scrambles quickly became sacks. Mahomes will face a similar adjustment to the NFL.

While teams in the NFL are spreading it out more than ever before, 5 receiver sets are still a rarity. Even more rare are receivers running wide open down the field. Mahomes’ highlight reel features great deep balls, but also a number of busted coverages. Can Mahomes sling the ball down field? Absolutely. Can he run a true NFL offense with a complicated NFL defense staring him in the face? I sure wouldn’t bet the 3rd overall pick on it.

http://beargoggleson.com/2017/01/03/chicago-bears-fatal-flaws-high-profile-qb-draft/6/

Well there you have it, they all have risks, which one will end up succeeding in the NFL? Imstill am leaning to Mitch Trubisky.

 

Calbrooks
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*****

This mock draft was completed using the FanSpeak On the Clock Mock Draft Simulator.

Round 1

Deshaun Watson
Quarterback, Clemson

*****

There are some questions about Watson’s game. He does not have the strongest throwing arm and his passes can be erratic. That being said, he is an absolutely play-maker at the quarterback position who steps up when his team needs him to the most.

Watson is an accurate passer who typically shows nice touch on his passes. He is also a smart player who does not panic in a messy pocket and is a great leader.

Physically, the most impressive part of Watson’s game is his rushing ability. He is an elite athlete at the quarterback position, who can take over a game with his legs. Watson’s ability in the pocket is impressive, but his athleticism takes him to the next level as a prospect.

Watson is a tough and talented quarterback who shines when the lights are the brightest. He is a legitimate franchise quarterback and needs to be squarely on the Bears’ radar at number three.

Round 2

QUINCY WILSON
Cornerback, Florida

There is a lot to like about the Bears defense going forward. Akiem Hicks and Eddie Goldman lead a talented group up front, while their linebacker group is top-notch. However, the Bears secondary leaves a lot to be desired.

Kyle Fuller was supposed to be their number one corner in 2016, but he missed the entire season with a knee injury. I think it is safe to call Fuller a bust now. Adrian Amos is a decent safety, but he took a step back in his second season. Tracy Porter is not a long-term option while young guys Deiondre’ Hall, Cre’Von LeBlanc and Deon Bush are all upside plays.

Simply put, the Bears do not have one reliable player in their defensive backfield. If they are going to compete in today’s NFL, that simply has to change.

With their early second-round pick, the Bears find a potential shut down cornerback in Quincy Wilson. A long and athletic corner on the outside, Wilson is the exact kind of big press corner that Vic Fangio loves.

Wilson is a tough and aggressive player who excels in press coverage. He does a great job of using his length to disrupt opposing receivers and is a great play-maker on the ball.

There is a lot to like about Wilson’s game and he is absolutely in the first round discussion. The Bears landing him in the second round would be highway robbery and a great move for the franchise going forward. Incredible value at a major position of need.

Round 3

JUSTIN EVANS
Safety, Texas A&M

Adding Wilson would undoubtedly help the Bears’ cornerback situation, but they are still extremely weak at safety. In the third-round, they find a safety prospect who would help take their defense to the next level.

A former JUCO star, Justin Evans has put himself on the map this season at Texas A&M and he appears to have a bright future at the next level.

Evans is an extremely fast and explosive athlete who shows incredible range on the field. He plays a variety of roles in the Aggies’ defense, lining up both near the line of scrimmage and in a centerfield role.

He is a strong coverage player who shows the ability to defend wide areas of space. However, there is more to Evans’ game than simply being a last line of defense. He is strong in run support and brings an extremely physical style of play to the field. Evans will punish wide receivers going over the middle of the field.

Pairing Evans with Amos would give the Bears a solid safety duo with some nice upside. They add a player here who has big time upside at a major position of need. Strong, strong choice.

*****

http://dawindycity.com/2017/01/07/2017-nfl-draft-chicago-bears-postseason-seven-round-mock/6/

Train like you are 2nd, but play like you are 1st.

PGT34
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Watson reminds me of Geno Smith. I hope he is still in the green room after the 3rd pick.

Never die easy....

_Afrocomb
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As of right now I prefer what draftek.com is suggesting. That is ignoring QB and taking top 5 talent in the top five. In this case this means Jabrill Peppers with Jalen Tabor and Marlon Humphrey being the alternatives.

They are so down on this class that Watson, Kizer, Mahomes & Kaaya all slip into the second round. This is why trading down is such an appealing prospect. Going down the 1st round a few spots if possible would still allow the Bears to get a top player in the secondary whilst giving some ammunition to move back into the bottom of the 1st round to snipe one of the QBs.

Galad
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It's just Chi's luck that the year they are this fucking bad there isn't a viable QB available in the first round. The history of this franchise at the QB position is astounding. 

 

 ChickenLittle 4.jpg 

Calbrooks
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I know Galad, have been frustrated by that too. Almost puts Pace in the position of having to draft a QB at 3 that normally might fall to the second round. There are just so few QBs this year that even look like they could become starters.

Train like you are 2nd, but play like you are 1st.

PapaBear.OR
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Looks are so deceiving when it comes to the draft, so many guys that 'look' like they are worthy of a top pick end up tanking, and so many more that didn't look like anything at all end up being the best of their era.  If we go back and look there is probably not many of us, myself included, that could have told you Tom Brady, Russell Wilson, Joe Montana, Dak Prescott, or any of these guys were easily worth a high first round pick.......... I give a damn about value by round of the draft.  Jordan Howard was a Huge value at 5, looks like he was worth a one but who really gives a shit after the fact?  The only thing that matters is that he is a player now.

The Bears need a QB deperately now and I don't give a damn what round they get him in so long as he can play the position.  

Butkus never wore an earring

JustAnotherBear
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ORIGINALLY POSTED BY Galad

It's just Chi's luck that the year they are this fucking bad there isn't a viable QB available in the first round. The history of this franchise at the QB position is astounding. 

That really doesn't matter if the top 5 picks in the draft were the best college QB to ever come out the Bears would reach for a different QB who would never turn out to be nothing more then a turn over king or a another Jay Cutler

 

JustAnotherBear
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2017 NFL Draft: Ranking the Chicago Bears 5 Biggest Needs

If the Chicago Bears are going to improve on their 3-13 record next season, they must address their biggest needs during the upcoming 2017 NFL Draft.

Man, the 2016 campaign was an ugly one for the Chicago Bears. They won only three games, and turned out to be one of the laughing stocks of the NFC. While injuries played a big part in their demise, it’s safe to say there were still plenty of holes present in the roster.

Moving into 2017, these aforementioned holes must be addressed. A great time to do so would be during the 2017 NFL Draft, which is set to get under way in late April

Obviously the Bears will also look to make some moves during free agency, as general manager Ryan Pace so enjoys. They did it a season ago when they pulled in one of the top free agent classes, but it still failed to win them many games. Making a big impact during the draft, though, could help Chicago close the gap between it and the rest of the NFC North.

Between having the No. 3 overall pick and six others, the Bears shouldn’t have too much trouble finding a few contributors. They did it last year with players like Cody Whitehair, Nick Kwiatkoski and Jordan Howard—they can do it again in 2017.

So without further ago, let’s take a look at the Bears’ biggest draft needs right now.

5. Tight End

We all know the Bears have a quality starter at tight end in Zach Miller. Unfortunately, things aren’t so pretty further down the depth chart. Especially with Miller ending the 2016 season on IR, Chicago could use some more options at tight end. Backup Logan Paulsen is scheduled to be a free agent, and may not return. The rest of the depth chart is made up of young, inexperienced prospects with uncertain upside. It’s just not a secure situation to be in.

That’s why going out and finding an early- or mid-round talent at tight end wouldn’t be the worst idea. Especially with a potential change at quarterback looming large this offseason, any newcomer would be in a better position with some quality tight ends to work with.

Thankfully for Chicago, this 2017 class is loaded with tight end talent. Not only are there some serious playmakers who could fall to the top of the second round, but there should be a couple of intriguing options lingering in the third or fourth rounds as well.

As long as he stays healthy, Miller is locked in as the Bears’ starter. However, more capable contributors are needed moving forward. Grabbing a young, high-upside tight end during the 2017 NFL Draft has to be a serious consideration for Pace

4. Wide Receiver

How much of a need this position is depends on how free agency pans out. The Bears currently have three wide receivers scheduled to hit the open market, including Pro Bowler Alshon Jeffery. He’s hinted at staying (via NFL.com), but anything can happen during crunch time.

If he does jump ship, you can bet Chicago will be looking far and wide for help in the passing game. They already appear destined to have a new starter under center, which makes it all the more imperative to provide them with a decent arsenal of weapons to work with.

As previously alluded to, other receivers are set to become free agents as well. Deonte Thompson and Marquess Wilson both have expiring contracts, and will likely test the waters. That would leave the Bears with Cameron Meredith and the injury-prone duo of Kevin White and Eddie Royal as their top three targets out wide.

In case you aren’t sure, that isn’t an ideal situation to be in if Chicago plans being better than 3-13 next season. Luckily for the Bears, the 2017 draft class offers a plethora of talent at wide receiver. They’ll likely look to spend a Day 2 or early Day 3 pick at the position, which should be enough to at least get their receiving corps moving in the right direction.

3. Offensive Tackle

Right now, the Bears have two capable starters at offensive tackle. The duo of Charles Leno and Bobbie Massie is decent, and doesn’t mean they should be settled on as the unquestioned starters in Chicago.

When it comes down to it, both are solid pass protectors who struggle to get much movement in the ground game. While keeping the quarterback upright is paramount, the Bears should obviously be invested in giving their young group of running backs as much room to work as possible. That’s why finding a rookie who can be relied upon early seems ideal for Chicago

Even if who they add doesn’t start right away, the Bears could use the added depth. They ended the year with waiver-claimed Matt McCants as the only backup option for both tackle spots, which is unacceptable. It also doesn’t help that McCants, Mike Adams and Nick Becton are all free agents this offseason, meaning the team may be forced to completely refill their depth chart.

My only concern here would be that the 2017 draft class is devoid of exciting offensive line talent. Finding someone who can step in and make an impact from Day 1 won’t be easy. If the Bears can pull it off, though, they’d be in a much better position heading into 2017. [Tracy Porter Chicago Bears]

2. Cornerback

The future of the cornerback position in Chicago is shrouded in uncertainty. Kyle Fuller missed the entire 2016 campaign with a knee injury, leaving his status up in the air. Tracy Porter is a solid starter, but can’t be relied upon heavily for much longer. The rest of the depth chart is made up of limited veterans (i.e. Sherrick McManis) or youngsters who still have a lot to prove.

Hence, cornerback is a rather important area of need for the Bears this offseason. More specifically, they can’t afford to avoid adding a prospect or two to the position during the 2017 NFL Draft.

Like at tight end, the 2017 class is full of exciting cornerback talent. It’s to the point where people are mocking guys with first-round talent in the second or third rounds. There’s plenty of potential ripe for the picking, which should help the Bears fill a significant hole in their defense when April rolls around.

The hope is Fuller will return at full strength, and a player such as Deiondre’ Hall or Cre’von LeBlanc can emerge as a dependable option. However, whether that’s the case or not, Chicago must find another young cornerback to add to its secondary before the 2017 campaign gets under way.

1. Quarterback

It’s time to face facts–the Jay Cutler era is over in Chicago. It’s been a good run, and there have been plenty of positive moments among the rumors of his demise. However, with his contract now to the point where cutting him would yield less dead cap space, it’s time to say goodbye.

That means the Bears will be in search of a new quarterback this offseason. It’s not like Matt Barkley showed enough to suddenly put himself in the running to be the starter. Plus, he’s a free agent come March and may not even be re-signed.

It also doesn’t help that Brian Hoyer, the Bears’ top backup to start 2016, is also set to hit the open market. The NFL journeyman didn’t look half bad after taking over for Cutler, but quickly found himself on IR. Even if Chicago brings him back, they need a more permanent (and less injury-prone) solution under center.

Having the No. 3 overall pick should give the Bears several options to address the position. With the Cleveland Browns expected to take Myles Garrett with the first pick, that should leave Chicago to take whoever the San Francisco 49ers leave on the board. Chances are they could get their pick of Deshaun Watson, Deshon Kizer or Josh Allen.

The Bears surprised many with how bad they were this season. The roster has a surplus of talent, but could use a new gunslinger to help get things back on track. One way or another, expect a new face to take the reins of the Chicago offense in 2017.

.

Calbrooks
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1st Round

MALIK HOOKER 
FS, Ohio State

Ryan Pace knows John Fox and Vic Fangio are upset. They both come from a long history of defensive excellence. So watching this Bears unit continue to struggle in the secondary must be gnawing at their patience. It’s no secret how painfully lacking the team is in terms of playmakers on the back end. Just 11 takeaways in a season pretty much says it all. Until they start adding ball hawks, these problems are going to continue.

Malik Hooker is becoming a favorite in the scouting community, viewed as one of the best free safeties to come out of college in a decade. His mixture of size, speed, awareness, instinct and ball skills are on display constantly. In just his first year as a starter he snagged seven interceptions and returned three for touchdowns. His nose for the football jumps out on tape every single game. That is what the Bears crave for their secondary, and may have to use the #3 pick to get.

2nd Round

PATRICK MAHOMES 
QB, Texas Tech

Pace threw out a pretty big hint that oftentimes quarterbacks aren’t ready to play right away. He also referenced how the Dallas Cowboys were able to get Dak Prescott later in the draft. That speaks of a man who is confident enough that he can find a talented passer outside the 1st round and has the coaching staff necessary to make the young man a success. Given how the Bears did with Brian Hoyer and Matt Barkley, it’s not a completely unreasonable feeling.

Among the names gaining steam in this class is Patrick Mahomes. Most believe his mechanics and fundamentals are too raw to risk in the 1st round, but his overall skills set may be the best in the entire draft. He’s got a cannon arm to go along with underrated accuracy and touch. He runs well and has the strength to shrug off tacklers to keep plays alive. There is no shortage of toughness either as he can play hurt and play well doing so. The kind of quarterback who knows how to carry a team on his back.

3rd Round

JORDAN LEGGETT 
TE, Clemson

The Bears endured the nightmare scenario at tight end in 2016. It was feared that with Martellus Bennett traded to the Patriots, they were just a Zach Miller injury away from irrelevance at a key offensive position. Sure enough, Miller was lost for the year to another foot injury. If this offense is going to start putting up more points, they need credible threats at tight end who can catch the football. Thankfully this draft appears quite rich in such talents.

Jordan Leggett is one name who can sometimes be overlooked. In part because he plays on such a loaded offense. Deshaun Watson, Mike Williams and Wayne Gallman get so much of the attention. Leggett can be underrated. Though not a vertical threat, he’s got enough speed and route running skill to get himself consistent separation. His 6’5″ size is ideal as well, making it difficult for defenders to match up.

*****

http://nflmocks.com/2017/01/06/chicago-bears-seven-round-2017-mock-draft-going-deep/3/

Train like you are 2nd, but play like you are 1st.

BamaBear09
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ORIGINALLY POSTED BY Galad

It's just Chi's luck that the year they are this fucking bad there isn't a viable QB available in the first round. The history of this franchise at the QB position is astounding. 

Of course the year the Bears are in the top 5 it's a weak QB class.  I don't like any of the top QBs, either too little experience, problems with accuracy or look to have played in a simple offense... that said Pace apparently was ga-ga over Mariota last year and will probably see a similar player in Watson this year... which scares me as I think he will pull the trigger on him at 3 passing up the possible pro bowls that Allen will be a part of.... Man a front line with Hicks, Goldman and Allen would look nice....

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